Inversion
Carl Jacobi / Charlie Munger · Model
Second-Order Thinking
Howard Marks · Memo
Circle of Competence
Warren Buffett · Memo
Hanlon's Razor
Robert J. Hanlon · Model
Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
The Feynman Technique: The Ultimate Guide to Learning Anything Faster
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish), after Richard Feynman · Essay
Proximate vs Root Causes: Keep Digging to Find the Answer
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
The Butterfly Effect: How Tiny Actions Unleash Global Consequences
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
Turning Pro: The Difference Between Amateurs and Professionals
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
Avoiding Stupidity is Easier than Seeking Brilliance
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
All Models Are Wrong … But Some Are Useful
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish), after George Box · Essay
Tit For Tat
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish), after Anatol Rapoport · Essay
Prisoner's Dilemma: What Game Are You Playing?
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish), after Robert Axelrod · Essay
The OODA Loop: How Fighter Pilots Make Fast and Accurate Decisions
Farnam Street, after Col. John Boyd · Essay
Predicting the Future with Bayes' Theorem
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish), after Thomas Bayes · Essay
The Value of Probabilistic Thinking: Spies, Crime, and Lightning Strikes
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
How to Use Occam's Razor Without Getting Cut
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish), after William of Ockham · Essay
Deductive vs Inductive Reasoning
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
Survivorship Bias: The Tale of Forgotten Failures
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
What Sharks Can Teach Us About Survivorship Bias
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
Illusion of Transparency: Your Poker Face is Better Than You Think
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
The Disproportional Power of Anecdotes
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
Thought Experiment: How Einstein Solved Difficult Problems
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
How Julia Child Used First Principles Thinking
Rosie / Farnam Street · Essay
Reciprocity: Getting What You Give
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
Winner Takes it All: How Markets Favor the Few at the Expense of the Many
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
Mental Models for Career Changes
Rosie / Farnam Street · Essay
5 Mental Models to Remove (Some of) the Confusion from Parenting
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
The Surprising Power of the Long Game
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
Descriptions Aren't Prescriptions
Farnam Street (Shane Parrish) · Essay
The Iceberg Model
Edward T. Hall · Framework
The Map is Not the Territory
Alfred Korzybski · Mental Model
How to Understand Anything
Polymathinvestor · Newsletter
10 Books That Sharpen Critical Thinking in an AI-Dominated World
Steve Burns · Essay
16 Mental Models to Sharpen Your Thinking
Unattributed compilation · Infographic
The Feynman Technique and the Leitner System
Josh Sanders (compiling Feynman and Leitner) · Infographic
The Johari Window and the DiSC Model
Joseph Luft & Harry Ingham (Johari); William Marston (DiSC) · Infographic
Correlation and Causation
Tyler Vigen · Website / Book