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Luckin Coffee (Anonymous Report)

Muddy Waters / Carson Block · 2020

"Luckin Coffee fabricated sales figures; the growth story is a fraud."

The idea

In 2020, Muddy Waters received an anonymous 89-page report proving that Luckin Coffee, China's answer to Starbucks, was fabricating hundreds of millions of dollars in sales. The stock collapsed 80% shortly after.

Why it works

The anonymous researchers hired 1,500 people to sit in Luckin Coffee shops across China and record 11,260 hours of store traffic video. They collected 25,843 customer receipts and proved that Luckin's app was skipping order numbers to artificially inflate the daily transaction count by over 70%. To balance the books, Luckin then faked massive corporate bulk purchases and inflated their advertising expenses.

The takeaway — recall it first
Check your understanding

How did investigators definitively prove Luckin Coffee was faking its sales?

Further reading

Read more about the topic

The explanation above is written with AI assistance. These are the originals — go to them to check it.

  • After the fraud: Luckin's improbable comebackFortune
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