Skip to content
← The Scroll
Contemporary · Essay

The Most Important Skill To Learn In The Next 10 Years

Dan Koe · 2026

"The one skill that stays relevant regardless of which specific skills get automated is agency — the ability to act, iterate, and adapt without permission — because access to knowledge has never been the bottleneck; the willingness to act on it has."

The idea

Koe defines agency as more than initiative — it's 'an undying commitment to iteration,' treating your own life like an experiment with a hypothesis, expected failures, and course corrections, versus the 'employee mindset' that waits to be assigned a task and treats failure as proof the goal was impossible. He cites Spiral Dynamics-style development models estimating roughly half the population sits at a conformist cognitive stage, meaning they lack the developmental groundwork for genuine agency regardless of how much they talk about wanting it.

Why it works

He walks through three traits of high-agency behavior — iterating without waiting for permission, treating goals as hypotheses to test rather than promises to fulfill, and believing 'difficult' goals are achievable (contrasting with Seligman's learned-helplessness dog experiment, where previously-shocked dogs stopped trying to escape even once an easy exit was available) — then argues AI doesn't threaten agency, it exposes its absence: knowledge access has exploded, yet most people still do nothing with it, proving access was never the bottleneck. He closes with a five-capability argument (computation, transformation, variation, selection, attention) for why AGI doesn't obviously exceed human capacity at any of them, since all are ultimately bound by the same laws of time and physics.

The takeaway — recall it first
Check your understanding

Per Koe, what does the explosion of AI-accessible knowledge actually prove about most people's stalled progress?

Further reading

Read more about the topic

The explanation above is written with AI assistance. These are the originals — go to them to check it.

  • The Most Important Skill To Learn In The Next 10 YearsX (Article)
Up NextSuggested: Continues the theme of Dan Koe

How To Think Like A Strategic Genius (5D Thinking)

"Intelligence is not what you know (horizontal 'lines' of knowledge) but how you think about what you know (vertical 'levels' of development) — and 'genius thinking' is the ability to keep thinking rather than stopping once you've reached a comfortable answer."

Dan Koe · EssayContinue→
Listen
0 / 4