The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
Thomas Kuhn · 1962
"Science doesn't progress through smooth, cumulative accumulation of facts — it alternates between long periods of stable 'normal science' within an accepted paradigm and rare, disruptive 'paradigm shifts' where the entire framework for interpreting evidence is replaced."
Kuhn's 1962 book introduced the phrase 'paradigm shift' to describe something historians of science had noticed but not fully named: scientific revolutions don't add new facts to old theories, they replace the entire lens the facts are viewed through.
'Normal science,' in Kuhn's framework, is puzzle-solving within an accepted paradigm — a shared set of assumptions, methods, and exemplary solved problems that a scientific community treats as settled foundations, not open questions. Anomalies — observations that don't fit the paradigm — accumulate slowly and are usually explained away or set aside rather than treated as immediately fatal to the paradigm. A genuine crisis emerges only when anomalies accumulate past a threshold, and a paradigm shift happens when a new framework emerges that resolves the anomalies by reorganizing the field's basic assumptions, not just adding new facts to the old ones — the switch from Ptolemaic to Copernican astronomy, or Newtonian to Einsteinian physics, are Kuhn's central examples. Crucially, Kuhn argued paradigms are often incommensurable — practitioners on either side of a shift can partly talk past each other, because the shift changes what counts as a relevant fact or a good explanation in the first place, not just which specific claims are believed true.
According to Kuhn, what typically triggers a genuine scientific 'paradigm shift'?
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- The Structure of Scientific RevolutionsUniversity of Chicago Press
Guns, Germs, and Steel
"Which civilizations ended up conquering others was driven overwhelmingly by geographic and environmental accident — access to domesticable plants and animals, and an east-west continental axis that let farming spread easily — not by any difference in the people themselves."