Skip to content
← Home
Canonical · Puzzle

The Monty Hall Problem & Conditional Probability

Steve Selvin / Marilyn vos Savant · 1975

"Switching doors in Monty Hall doubles your chance of winning from 1/3 to 2/3 — because the host's action of opening a losing door is not random, it leaks information about where the prize isn't."

The idea

You pick one of three doors. The host, who knows what's behind each, opens a different losing door and offers you the switch. Intuition screams 50/50. The math says switch and you win two-thirds of the time.

Why it works
The takeaway — recall it first
Further reading

Read more about the topic

Up NextSuggested: Continues the theme of Logic & Mathematics

P vs NP & Computational Complexity

"Cook and Levin formalized the most important open question in computer science: if a solution can be verified quickly (NP), can it also be found quickly (P)? Most experts believe no — and that gap explains why many optimization, routing, and scheduling problems have no efficient perfect solution."

Stephen Cook / Leonid Levin · PaperContinue→
Listen
0 / 4