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Two Ways to Win the Robot Race: Smarter vs. Cheaper

TrendForce · 2026

"The US and China are running two structurally different playbooks for humanoid robots — the US is betting that intelligence (AI models trained on real-world data flywheels) will be the deciding moat, while China is betting that supply-chain scale and manufacturing speed will out-iterate any intelligence gap, echoing how China caught up in electric vehicles."

The idea

US firms like Tesla, Figure AI, Boston Dynamics, and Apptronik are racing to make their robots' AI smarter through real-world data collection. Chinese firms like Unitree and AgiBot are racing to make robots cheaper and more numerous, scaling one firm's production from 1,000 to 10,000 units in about sixteen months.

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