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Contemporary · Essay

Strong Opinions, Weakly Held

Paul Saffo · 2008

"Commit hard to a view so you can update fast when it's wrong."

The idea

The instinct is to hedge — hold beliefs loosely so you're never embarrassed. Saffo argues for the opposite: form the sharpest, most concrete opinion you can, and pair it with radical willingness to abandon it in the face of evidence. Sharp opinions test faster; hedged ones drift.

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