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Judgment Is the Scarcest Resource

Naval Ravikant · 2019

"In an age of near-infinite leverage, judgment — not effort or intelligence alone — becomes the scarcest and most valuable resource, since small differences in being 'right' get massively amplified."

The idea

Judgment, in Naval's usage, means the ability to make correct decisions under uncertainty with incomplete information — distinct from raw intelligence or hard work. He argues that historically, what you could accomplish was capped by your own labor, so judgment mattered but within limited bounds; today, leverage (code, media, capital) means one person's judgment, right or wrong, gets applied at a scale that used to require an entire organization to achieve.

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