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Contemporary · Essay

Moore's Law for Everything

Sam Altman · 2021

"AI will drive the cost of goods and labor toward zero, requiring a new social contract to distribute the wealth."

The idea

Sam Altman's 2021 essay predicting that AI will trigger a massive deflationary shock, making the cost of goods, services, and labor plummet. He proposes radical economic restructuring, like a tax on capital and land to fund a universal basic dividend.

Why it works

Altman argues that AI will decouple human labor from the production of wealth. As AI and robotics automate everything from programming to construction, the cost of living will drop exponentially (Moore's Law applied to the physical world). However, this means traditional wages will collapse. To prevent a dystopia of extreme inequality, society must shift from taxing labor (which will be worthless) to taxing capital (corporations) and land, distributing that wealth directly to citizens so they can enjoy the abundant, AI-driven economy.

The takeaway — recall it first
Check your understanding

According to Sam Altman, what economic shift must occur as AI automates labor?

Further reading

Read more about the topic

The explanation above is written with AI assistance. These are the originals — go to them to check it.

  • Moore's Law for Everything — UBI as AI dividend (Sam Altman, 2021)House overview
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