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Contemporary · Essay

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

Leopold Aschenbrenner · 2024

"AGI by ~2027 and superintelligence shortly after will trigger a trillion-dollar compute buildout and a US-China race."

The idea

Leopold Aschenbrenner's viral 2024 essay predicting that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is imminent (by ~2027) and will trigger an explosive national security crisis and a literal intelligence explosion.

Why it works
The takeaway — recall it first
Further reading

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